Strong Finish to 2017
Strong Finish to 2017 by VanEck, For the Month Ending December 31, 2017
International moats, as represented by the Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM ( MGEUMFUN, or ”International Moat Index”), trailed the MSCI All Country World Index ex-USA in December (1.75% vs. 2.24%), but finished with full-year outperformance of greater than 3% (30.36% vs. 27.19%). The U.S.-oriented Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM ( MWMFTR, or ”U.S. Moat Index”) followed a strong November with positive relative performance in December, toping the broad U.S. markets as represented by …
Marijuana ETF går hem hos placerarna
Nya investerare har kanaliserat in stora mängder kapital i en ny Marijuana ETF. Denna börshandlade fond, ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (NYSEArca: MJX), som lanserades den 26 december 2017 hade vid starten 5,7 MUSD under förvaltning. Denna Marijuana ETF går hem hos placerarna som efter bara en veckas handel hade köpt andelar i denna ETF för mer än 260 MUSD. Under samma tid hade också värdet på denna ETF stigit med mer än tio procent. Det skall påpekas att under de första dagarna kom denna börshandlade …
London Stock Exchange welcomes Franklin Templeton’s first ETFs in Europe
Franklin Templeton launches first range of smart beta ETFs in Europe
27 dedicated ETP issuers now active on London Stock Exchange
More than £163 billion of on-exchange trading in ETPs on London Stock Exchange in first half of 2017
London Stock Exchange today welcomes Franklin Templeton Investments as the latest ETF issuer on its market. The four smart beta ETFs, listed in London earlier this month, are the first Franklin Templeton has issued in Europe. To celebrate the launch Greg Johnson, CEO of Franklin …
Horizons ETF blir exklusiv sponsor till Toronto Raptors
Horizons ETFs Management (Canada) Inc. (”Horizons ETFs”) kommer att bli en officiell partner och exklusiv ETF-sponsor av Toronto Raptors för NBA-säsongen 2017-2018. Som en officiell partner till Raptors kommer Horizons ETFs att ha en stark närvaro närvaro, inklusive Raptors courtside signage inom Air Canada Center och på tillhörande Raptors-teman kampanjer. Att Horizons ETF blir exklusiv sponsor till Toronto Raptors ser vi som en kul sak, att en ETF-leverantör skulle bli sponsor till ett elitlag i Sverige känns däremot inte riktigt lika troligt.
”Både basket- …
Det bästa sättet att äga kanadensiska banker
Kanada är i första hand känt som ett land med naturresurser, till exempel olja, mineraler och virke. Efter den stora Finanskrisen 2008/2009 kan även banker adderas till listan. Varför kan diskuteras. Det kan vara så att bankernas ledning utövar en effektivare riskhantering eller att regulatorerna håller höll hårdare övervakning över kapitalrelationerna. De kanadensiska bankerna cyklade genom den värsta bankkollapsen sedan den stora depressionen relativt helskinnade. Det bästa sättet att äga kanadensiska banker är genom en börshandlad fond.
Under 2012 förvärvade ett konsortium av banker 80 …
Investors continue to rotate into cyclical assets
ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Investors continue to rotate into cyclical assets
While investors pared back their defensive positions in gold and precious metal baskets, they built positions in technology equities, industrial metals and commodity FX baskets.
Inflows into robotic themed ETFs (US$7.2mn) and cyber security themed ETFs (US$6.4mn) were the highest in five and three weeks, respectively.
Industrial metals receive inflows for the fourth consecutive week.
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Technology-themed ETFs see multi-week high inflows. Both robotic and cybersecurity ETPs have seen stellar inflows since …
Is the Canadian Dollar signalling an oil price bottom?
Is the Canadian Dollar signalling an oil price bottom? The Bank of Canada (BOC) raised rates for the first time in seven years this week, the second major central bank to do so after the Federal Reserve. The BOC indicated that its economy ‘is approaching full capacity’. As a result, the Canadian Dollar, the so-called Loonie, jumped to the highest level against the US Dollar in 13 months. A rising CAD could be signalling a bottom for oil prices.
Business investment in the …
Gold Reacts to Dwindling Reflation Trade
Market Review – Gold Reacts to Dwindling Reflation Trade
Weak U.S. Dollar, Economic and Political Stability Support Gold Price Recovery
The gold price changed very little in May, recovering towards the end of the month after early weakness brought on by the French presidential election and the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting. From the first round of the French elections on April 23 to the final round on May 7, markets became increasingly convinced that the pro-EU candidate Emmanuel Macron would win the election. This pressured …
Weaker US Dollar, Investment Demand Sustains Gold’s Momentum in April
Weaker US Dollar, Investment Demand Sustains Gold’s Momentum in April by Joe Foster, Gold Strategist
Gold’s positive momentum continued in April. Bullion traded as high as $1,289.60 per ounce on April 18, driven primarily by weaker than expected U.S. economic data. Most notably, figures released in the jobs report were below expectations and additionally, U.S. factory output surprised on the downside. Gold also gained support from comments by President Trump during an interview on April 12, in which he stated that the …
OPECs choices, double down or do nothing
OPEC’s current strategy is not working. Oil prices have given back nearly all their gains since the cartel agreed to cut production in November 2016. We believe the credible options for their next move, to be discussed at their May 25th meeting, will be to either to cut deeper or let the deal collapse. The latter option seems the most likely outcome. OPECs choices, double down or do nothing.
As we argued in our recent outlooks, the efforts of OPEC members with assigned quotas, are …
US natural gas international demand unlikely to absorb domestic glut
Commodity Research US natural gas international demand unlikely to absorb domestic glut
Expansion of natural gas production in the US at a time when output of other fuels is also expected to increase will mean that the US will become more reliant on exports.
The US is reliant on NAFTA members for export demand. The risk of disappointment at a time of trade frictions seem high. An increase in inventory over the next six months seems a likely outcome.
The US’s role in the …
Safe haven assets rally on the news of US air strikes against Syria
ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Safe haven assets rally on the news of US air strikes against Syria
Gold ETPs recorded US$42m of inflows last week as tensions escalate between the US and Russia.
Investors took profits on oil as prices rose over 3% on production outages and US military strikes in Syria.
Investors increased their long position into EUR ETPs as Eurozone recovery gains momentum.
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Investors poured US$42m into long gold ETPs as sentiment turned bearish …
Getting more constructive on US assets
Getting more constructive on US assets. For April, our equity model suggests to remain neutral on US equities for the first time since August 2016. Our bond model suggests increasing allocation to government bonds as well as US investment grade corporates, while remaining neutral on US high yield as CDS levels are rising. The commodity model is going underweight all commodity sectors with the exception of industrial metals and livestock (see table below).
Our tactical portfolio continues to have 45% in equities, 45% in bonds and …
US healthcare repeal a crucial test of Republican Party discipline
News last night that President Trump’s healthcare bill has been delayed has worrying implications for Congress’ approval of other electoral promises, particularly when so much optimism for their approval appears priced into equity markets. US healthcare repeal a crucial test of Republican Party discipline
Data from the American Community Survey and the Department of Labor highlight a close correlation between rises in healthcare coverage and employment. A scaling back of the Affordable Health Care Act as proposed by President Trump has consequently …
db X-trackers creates range of low-cost fixed income Core ETFs
Deutsche Asset Management has established a range of db X-trackers fixed income Core ETFs that all use direct physical replication and have low annual all-in fees. db X-trackers creates range of low-cost fixed income Core ETFs
The fixed income Core range provides exposure to Eurozone and US government bonds, to the euro and US dollar corporate bond markets, and to the euro-denominated high-yield corporate bond market (see table below for a list of db X-trackers Core fixed income ETFs). Euro-hedged share classes …
A tactical play to political uncertainties
ETF Securities Asset Allocation Research – A tactical play to political uncertainties
For February, the tactical portfolio is reducing its allocation in US and French equities while overweighting Canada, India, Brazil, Russia and Turkey.
After two months underweighting most bonds except US investment grade, the tactical portfolio is taking a neutral position on rising interest rates and inflation expectations.
Within commodities, the portfolio tactically underweights nickel and tin, increasing allocation in corn and sugar while remaining neutral on energy and precious metals.
For February, the tactical portfolio is reducing …
Deutsche AM’s db X-trackers enters ESG corporate bond ETF market
Deutsche Asset Management (Deutsche AM) has created a fixed income ETF to provide investors with environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG)-focused exposure to the euro-denominated corporate bond market. ESG corporate bond ETF
db x-trackers II ESG EUR Corporate Bond UCITS ETF (DR) tracks an index of corporate debt filtered to only include companies that meet certain sustainability, social and corporate governance requirements. The fund is a physical replication ETF.
“The provision of environmental, social and corporate governance investment solutions is an essential part …
Deutsche AM celebrates 10 years of growth and innovation in ETFs
Deutsche Asset Management’s (Deutsche AM’s) db X-trackers ETF business is preparing for a further decade of growth and innovation following the 10-year anniversary of the listing of its first ETFs. Deutsche AM celebrates 10 years of growth and innovation in ETFs.
The first db X-trackers ETF, the db x-trackers MSCI World Index UCITS ETF, which now has over Euros 2.5 billion in assets1, listed on the Deutsche Börse in January 2007 and marked the start of a 10-year period that saw …
Gasoline prices surge after Colonial pipeline explosion
An explosion in Alabama has shut down two pipelines linking the US Gulf Coast and the US East Coast on 31 October 2016, taking an estimated 2.5mb/d of petroleum product transportation capacity offline. If both of these pipelines are fully impaired, that could be as much as half the petroleum product pipeline utilisation in the US. December-delivery gasoline prices surged as much as 14%. Prices are likely to remain elevated if pipeline flow is not restored soon.
The explosion comes on the heels of a …
CAD heading lower
Trade Idea – Foreign Exchange – CAD heading lower
The CAD has decoupled from oil prices as economic prospects wane.
Bank of Canada (BoC) has indicated that further stimulus was considered at the latest monetary policy meeting.
Weaker oil prices should see short positions mount against the CAD and the USD/CAD climb higher.
Oil prices offer little support
Since OPEC took the surprise decision to limit production last month crude benchmarks have managed to settle in a new trading range in and around the psychologically important $50/bbl level. Typically, this move would have …
Rebalancing Markets Fuel Positive Sentiment for Hard Assets
3Q’16 Hard Assets Equities Strategy Review and Positioning
Our hard assets equities strategy’s positions in Energy and Diversified Metals & Mining sectors were, in particular, significant contributors to positive performance. Within the Energy sector, positive performance stemmed mainly from the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (E&P) sub-industry. The Oil & Gas Drilling sub-industry also made a useful contribution to performance during the quarter. By contrast, Oil & Gas Equipment & Services was the only energy sub-industry to detract from the strategy’s performance and …
Coking Coal Rally Driven by Supply Constraints
Overview: VanEck’s natural resources investment strategy spans the breadth of raw materials commodities sectors, and the coal and consumable fuels sub-sector can play an important role. Not least, the global steel industry is dependent on coal. Metallurgical coal is essential to the steel making process with approximately 70% of the steel produced today using coal as a primary raw material. Metallurgic coal is also called “coking” coal because it is used to create coke, an irreplaceable input for steel production. Coking Coal Rally Driven …
Underweight US, Europe and precious metals
ETF Securities Asset Allocation Research: Underweight US, Europe and precious metals
For October, in the equity space, the tactical portfolio continues to reallocate its weights from developed countries into emerging market stocks.
In the commodity space, we tactically underweight gold, platinum and palladium, increasing allocation across the board to keep commodities at 10% in the portfolio.
Our tactical portfolio has much lower volatility than its strategic benchmark since 2005, returning 5.2% per year and enhancing the Sharpe ratio by 65%.
In this second edition of our asset allocation …
Loonie set for near term tumble
Trade Idea – Foreign Exchange – Loonie set for near term tumble
The tentative agreement reached by OPEC last Wednesday has sent oil prices to the top of their recent range and lent support to oil linked currencies.
In practice the production limit will be hard to implement and oil prices will likely retrace gains in coming months.
The CAD looks to continue its downtrend as extended positioning corrects lower and monetary conditions are eased.
OPEC surprises markets
Global crude benchmarks and oil linked currencies jumped last Wednesday on news …
Deutsche AM’s db X-trackers platform launches the first Asia ex-Japan USD corporate bond ETF
Deutsche Asset Management’s (Deutsche AM) db X-trackers platform has launched the world’s first exchange-traded fund (ETF) providing exposure to the Asia ex-Japan US dollar corporate bond market 1. Deutsche AM’s db X-trackers platform launches the first Asia ex-Japan USD corporate bond ETF
db x-trackers II iBoxx USD Liquid Asia Ex-Japan Corporate Bond UCITS ETF (DR) has listed on the Deutsche Börse today and is due to list on the London Stock Exchange next week. The ETF tracks an …