Hem » Börsen, ETF:er, Featured, Headline

Political risk drives precious metal inflows

22 maj 2017 Inga kommentarer

ETF Securities Political risk drives precious metal inflowsPolitical risk drives precious metal inflows

ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Political risk drives precious metal inflows

  • Precious metals inflows (US$126mn) continue for a second week on rising political uncertainty
  • Technology ETPs drive global equity inflows of US$30mn
  • Dollar Buying; Euro Selling
  • Industrial Metals reverse outflows from last week

Download the complete report (.pdf)

Precious metals inflows (US$126mn) continue for a second week on rising political uncertainty. Gold (US$50mn) and Silver (US$73mn) ETPs had another strong week of inflows. The main catalyst has been the increasing political tension in the US, starting with President Trump’s dismissal of his FBI director and then culminating with congress appointing a special prosecutor to investigate possible Russian involvement in the US election. With some questioning whether the Trump administration can survive its full-term, safe haven assets such as bonds and precious metals rallied last week. Silver ETPs continue to see investor interest as the gold-silver price ratio still looks elevated relative to recent history. We continue to have a favourable view on silver fundamentals as production has fallen in recent years creating a supply deficit. Silver production, including mine production and scrap, fell 32.6 million ounces between 2015 and 2016.

Technology ETPs drive global equity inflows of US$30mn. The previous weekend saw an unprecedented global cyber-attack which impacted both public and private computer systems in up to 74 countries. On the back of this both the Cyber (US$13mn ) and Robo (US$16mn ) ETPs saw strong inflows last week. The Tech sector more generally continues to lead equity performance, as tech earnings in the US have come in better than expected. 82% of Tech companies have so far beat estimates, one of the strongest sectors in the S&P 500.

Dollar Buying and Euro Selling. The US Dollar index (DXY) has had its worst week in ten months as the political tumult in the US sent bond yields lower. Nevertheless, the USD ETP had inflows of US$8mn last week as investors took the opportunity to buy the US Dollar ahead of the June Federal Reserve Meeting in three weeks’ time. Currently the futures market is assigning nearly 100% probability to a hike at the meeting. The primary buying came against the Euro which broke the 1.10 EUR level following President Macron’s inauguration. Since April, there have been five straight weeks of inflows in the USD ETP since mid-April, totalling US$50mn.

Industrial metals reverse outflows from last week. There were US$21mn into the Industrial Metals basket ETP and US$11mn into the Copper ETP following China’s announcement last week that it would invest an additional US$20bn to the Silk Road Fund which seeks to boost infrastructure and trade links with the rest of the world. In contrast, the China A-share equity ETP saw US8mn of outflows as tighter liquidity conditions continues to drag on the A-share market which is down -1% YTD.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336

Important Information


This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.

Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.

Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.

The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.

Risk Warnings

Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.

If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or for more information.

Kommentarer är avstängda.